Hunch

Hunch

Prediction markets for friends. Bet on outcomes, compete with your group, and see who's right.

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How It Works

Create Markets
Ask questions about future events. Will it rain tomorrow? Who will win the game?
Set multiple options
Add descriptions
Share with groups
Join Groups
Create or join groups with friends, family, or colleagues to share markets together.
Private groups
Invite friends
Group markets
Connect Friends
Add friends to see their predictions, compare stats, and compete on leaderboards.
Friend requests
View friend stats
Track performance
Place Bets
Bet on your predictions. When the market resolves, winners get paid out proportionally.
Bet any amount
See live odds
Win profits

Simple Flow

1

Create or Join

Set up your account and join a group or create your own

2

Make Predictions

Create markets with questions and place bets on outcomes

3

Resolve & Win

When markets resolve, winners get paid based on their bets

See How Payouts Work

Adjust the bets below and see how winnings are calculated when the market settles. Winners share the losing pool proportionally, and excess funds are refunded.

Who will win the game?

Adjust Bet Amounts

A
Alice
Betting on Team A
$30
B
Bob
Betting on Team A
$20
C
Charlie
Betting on Team B
$100

Total Pool Distribution

Team A$50 (33%)
Team B$100 (67%)
Total Pool: $150

Select Winner to See Payouts

Settlement Math

Winning pool (Team A):$50
Losing pool:$100
Winnable by winners:$50
Refunded to losers:$50

Since the losing pool ($100) is larger than the winning pool ($50), winners can only claim $50. The remaining $50 is refunded to losers proportionally.

Final Payouts

BettorBetPayoutProfit/Loss
A
AliceWinner
$30on Team A$60.00+$30.00
B
BobWinner
$20on Team A$40.00+$20.00
C
Charlie
$100on Team B$50.00$-50.00
Total$150$150.00$0.00

Notice: Total payouts equal total bets. Net profit/loss is always zero (pure peer-to-peer).